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Fundamental Analysis

FOMC Indicates Possible Pause in Interest Rate Hikes, ECB Raises Rates Amid Inflation Concerns

The FOMC meeting on Wednesday indicated that the Fed is very close to announce a pause and the range-bound response in Treasury yields suggests that there was no significant shift in rate...

Hawkish Risks Into Today's ECB Meeting

Traders Brace For ECBToday’s ECB meeting holds the potential to create plenty of fireworks. On the back of the Fed signalling a pause along with yesterday’s .25% hike, the ECB is expected to push...

Crude Oil Bounces Sharply Off The Lows - Recovery Coming?

Oil Traders Cut Longs The latest CFTC COT institutional positioning report shows that oil traders cut their net long positions last week. Bullish exposure was trimmed to 236k contracts from 244k...

What Will Fed Signal For US Rates Beyond Today's FOMC?

Fed to Hike Again But What Will Follow?The main focus for traders today, and indeed for the week, will be the FOMC rate decision this evening. Expectations have been shifting wildly since the last...

ECB Faces Dilemma as EU Inflation Report Shows Downside Surprise

The EU April inflation report that hit the wires on Tuesday, surprised on the downside, albeit slightly, signalling that tight credit conditions are gradually taking effect on demand. Headline...

Stocks Rally on Weaker US GDP Reading

GDP Dipped in Q1The release of US adv Q1 GDP yesterday fuelled a sharp recovery rally in global asset prices. At first look, GDP was seen printing just 1.1% in Q1, down firmly from the prior quarter’s...

US GDP Falls Short of Expectations and Inflation Rises: A Closer Look at the Numbers

The risk appetite in global markets came under pressure while safe-haven demand increased after the US GDP and inflation data on Friday. For the first quarter, the US GDP posted a big...

The Crude Chronicles - Episode 180

Oil Traders Increase Longs as Price SlidesThe latest CFTC COT institutional positioning report shows that oil traders increased their net long positions again last week. Total upside exposure rose to...

ECB Meeting and Inflation: What to Expect Next Week

There's only one week left until the ECB meeting and markets price in a high probability of the outcome where the regulator will deliver one more rate hike. The only thing that remains unclear is...